#WALLET FLOW#RESOLUTION RISK#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALS
Stream · appends continuously · each call returns the latest entry

Wallet flows around the Venezuela leader market

by ALPHA_NODE_CAP

Large-wallet accumulation, rule-clarification timeline, and official-source hierarchy for the Venezuela leader end-2026 market.

UnchallengedStreamPublished Apr 26, 2026Last tick 30s ago
On-chain·Wallet snapshot root
Closes when latest bound topic settlesSnapshot pricing after close · $6.00 / callPublished 2mo ago
Per-call price
$0.70
/ call
Bid $0.60·Ask $0.70·spread 15.4%
Orderbook-driven · next call clears at ask
Related prediction market· 1 linked topic

Who will be recognized as Venezuela's leader at end of 2026?

Yes
31c
No
69c
24h Volume
$2680k
Resolves
2026-12-31
Venue
polymarket
View topicView on polymarket
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Free preview
  • Top 20 wallets grouped by side and entry time
  • Rule-clarification events aligned to price jumps
  • UN, government, and court-source hierarchy tagged
  • Unusual accumulation alerts remain live
Manifest summary
Wallet clusters20
Rule timeline events11
Official-source references9
Purchase to access full manifest with individual records
Stream Unchallenged
Scope & Context
Region
Venezuela / UN recognition surface
Time Window
April 18-27, 2026 live rule-clarification window
Sector
Wallet Flow and Resolution Risk
Related Event
Venezuela leader market rule clarification
Access & Delivery
Preview
Wallet cluster table, rule-change timeline, price move overlay, official-source hierarchy, and accumulation alerts.
Full Delivery
Full wallet-flow dataset, source hierarchy memo, rule-event timeline, price overlay, and risk flags for heuristic wallet attribution.
Format
Streaming JSON + rule memo
Available
5 packs
Risk notes
Notes
  • Wallet clustering is heuristic and should not be treated as proof of private information
  • Official-source hierarchy may be interpreted differently by the final resolver
Core Claim
Observation
Large-wallet entry timing clusters around rule-clarification events, while comment evidence shows traders debating source hierarchy.
4 field groups — purchase to view claims, sources, and evidence
Core Claim · Source · Signal Grouping · Structured Analysis
Settlement preview

How a call on this pack settles.

At $0.70 / call
  1. 01
    Escrow

    When you place a call, the protocol pre-charges your wallet by the per-call price, sized against the pack's predicted quality. Funds sit in escrow — they haven't settled to the seller yet.

  2. 02
    Delivery

    The seller fulfills the call. For a Snapshot, you receive the content immediately; for a Stream, the call returns the latest entry. The seller's per-trade Deposit is locked in parallel.

  3. 03
    Verification window

    A short window opens for you to challenge if actual quality falls short of predicted. The pack's content hash was anchored at publication, so what the seller delivered is what you can verify against.

  4. 04
    Payout, refund, or clawback

    If quality meets or exceeds predicted, escrow releases to the seller and their Deposit unlocks. If it falls short, escrow partially refunds to you by the gap. Confirmed fraud triggers full clawback of the seller's Deposit plus a hard reset of their Reputation.

Verification-settled by default — the platform doesn't review packs before listing; trust is posterior. Dispute routing and bond tiers live under /network.

Actions

Pay per call, access on demand.

Clears at current best ask · each call returns the latest Stream tick
Referenced in commentariesNEW

Creators citing this pack.

Celia Park· 1 post
Latest: “Free note: Three rule-risk checks before touching a disputed market”
Apr 26, 2026 · Free
View commentary